Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.372387 0.424910 0.481046 0.545378 0.616929 0.693929 0.782923
2025-11-23 0.282788 0.353302 0.434450 0.534192 0.652898 0.789041 0.956341
2025-11-30 0.226599 0.308346 0.409110 0.541098 0.707917 0.910131 1.171975
2025-12-07 0.178380 0.263883 0.376500 0.533152 0.742482 1.009314 1.371366
2025-12-14 0.145548 0.233080 0.355755 0.536081 0.789445 1.127119 1.604373
2025-12-21 0.116747 0.202216 0.329492 0.526746 0.817308 1.220894 1.813004
2025-12-28 0.101113 0.187943 0.324405 0.545900 0.885694 1.374486 2.114386
2026-01-04 0.088125 0.175282 0.319443 0.563754 0.952837 1.530646 2.430270
2026-01-11 0.074815 0.159374 0.306582 0.566900 0.996835 1.655173 2.708037
2026-01-18 0.063524 0.144781 0.293468 0.567355 1.035558 1.773362 2.983051
2026-01-25 0.053863 0.131275 0.280022 0.565051 1.068601 1.883918 3.252251
2026-02-01 0.046098 0.119953 0.268718 0.564697 1.104027 1.999618 3.535437
2026-02-08 0.039668 0.110257 0.259282 0.566927 1.144628 2.127548 3.848214
2026-02-15 0.033489 0.099720 0.246487 0.561074 1.169969 2.231404 4.127822
2026-02-22 0.029643 0.093912 0.242606 0.572022 1.226612 2.391811 4.510301
2026-03-01 0.025127 0.085269 0.231148 0.566083 1.250668 2.496634 4.804146
2026-03-08 0.021971 0.079485 0.225179 0.570721 1.295108 2.639896 5.171478
2026-03-15 0.018519 0.071898 0.213670 0.561861 1.311783 2.733466 5.456210
2026-03-22 0.017040 0.069898 0.215503 0.582756 1.390033 2.944699 5.960568
2026-03-29 0.015632 0.067757 0.216630 0.602069 1.466334 3.156291 6.475417
2026-04-05 0.013740 0.063444 0.211345 0.605679 1.509690 3.307435 6.886742
2026-04-12 0.011990 0.059082 0.205173 0.606342 1.546547 3.447752 7.284256
2026-04-19 0.010380 0.054700 0.198164 0.604021 1.576455 3.575759 7.664235